Everton Statistics
Everton Statistics
xG, expected goals
Everton (2.50) 0-3 (2.20) Man Utd
I know it's far from definitive, and the defensive stats are somewhat tautological, but it helps to point out the real area of concern.
Finishing; 7 fewer goals than expected, (32%) fewer so far this season.
Expected goals 20.58
Actuals goals 14.00 *
Expected goals against 20.41
Goals against 21.00
Everton (2.50) 0-3 (2.20) Man Utd
I know it's far from definitive, and the defensive stats are somewhat tautological, but it helps to point out the real area of concern.
Finishing; 7 fewer goals than expected, (32%) fewer so far this season.
Expected goals 20.58
Actuals goals 14.00 *
Expected goals against 20.41
Goals against 21.00
Re: Everton Statistics
Whilst it's crazy to put too much emphasis on xG stats, due to their limitations, it's also not sensible for a club to completely disregard it (not sure any do)
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Bluedylan1
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Re: Everton Statistics
I don't understand why anybody would think anything remotely negative about Xg. It's just a very basic way of measuring the number and quality of chances a team makes in a game, or over a series of games.
It's not positive or negative. It just is.
It's not positive or negative. It just is.
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Kerryblueboy
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Re: Everton Statistics
If we went back over all those shots the amount that the duke gana and Onana have had would be about half I reckon good that we are creating chances but need much better finishing or getting the better finishers on the end of these chances
Re: Everton Statistics
What is the factoring of what is a chance and what is the degree of difficulty of a chance?
WBFBTPL
Re: Everton Statistics
Maupay missed some absolute jaw dropping sitters in the first few home games.
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UnsyisaRhino
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Re: Everton Statistics
AFAIA, it's a data and probability generation model.
If, in X amount of attempts, somebody has shot from that position before then an xG of 1 means it has gone in every time and 0 is a statistical and legal impossibility.
So 0.9 is 9 out of 10 people who have had a crack from that position have scored
The "position" takes the below into account:
Distance to the goal
Angle to the goal
Did the player strike it with his feet or was it a header?
In what passage of play did it happen? (e.g. open play, direct free-kick, corner kick, counter-attack)
Has the player just beaten an opponent?
I've heard there's more since I checked. But I think that's around GK data, I don't actually know.
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StirlingBlue
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Re: Everton Statistics
One of the things it doesn’t take into account is how well the player is set, so many of our chances seem to be taken digging a shot out from under their feet because of a poor first touchessuperpull wrote: ↑Tue Nov 28, 2023 9:32 pm
AFAIA, it's a data and probability generation model.
If, in X amount of attempts, somebody has shot from that position before then an xG of 1 means it has gone in every time and 0 is a statistical and legal impossibility.
So 0.9 is 9 out of 10 people who have had a crack from that position have scored
The "position" takes the below into account:
Distance to the goal
Angle to the goal
Did the player strike it with his feet or was it a header?
In what passage of play did it happen? (e.g. open play, direct free-kick, corner kick, counter-attack)
Has the player just beaten an opponent?
I've heard there's more since I checked. But I think that's around GK data, I don't actually know.
Re: Everton Statistics
I think on general... we're not making consistent good chances. It's a scrap in the box following a cross or a set piece. It's rare we are sliding people through or squaring it in the box.
Think our xg is a bit inflated compared to actual chance quality.
Don't know if this will help or simply confuse things.
Think our xg is a bit inflated compared to actual chance quality.
Don't know if this will help or simply confuse things.
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Bluedylan1
- Posts: 2361
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Re: Everton Statistics
I disagree. I do think we're making consistently good chances.
Sure, we don't make them in an attractive way and they are usually the result of a knock down or a bit of ugly play, but that's kinda a different point.
Sure, we don't make them in an attractive way and they are usually the result of a knock down or a bit of ugly play, but that's kinda a different point.